The Housing Boom and Bust Report has been released by SQM Research for 2025 and provides some great insights into the property market for next year, as indicated in the following article by Craig Francis from API Magazine - https://www.apimagazine.com.au/news/article/2025-property-market-boom-or-bust-dependent-on-interest-rates.
The report provides 4 key scenarios that provide different forecasted capital growth outcomes dependent on interest rate changes.
Scenario 1 (the base case scenario) assumes a 25-50 basis points rate cut in mid-2025 and provides the following approximate forecasts in each market.
Perth: +14% to +19% capital growth
Brisbane: +9% to +14% capital growth
Adelaide: +8% to +13% capital growth
Darwin: +5% to +8% capital growth
Melbourne: -5% to -1% capital growth
Sydney: -5% to -1% capital growth
Hobart: -3% to +2% capital growth
Canberra: -6% to -2% capital growth
Perth appears set for another excellent year, with Brisbane and Adelaide market also poised for continued growth.
Darwin is an interesting market, which is expected to outperform the overall market, with projected growth of 8-13%.
Be sure to get Louis Christopher's excellent Boom and Bust Report for 2025 here, which always provides valuable insights if you are a serious property investor - https://sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport.php.
